Harper/Cameron/McCain: Canada’s role in a new world order
What would Canada’s role in the world look like if two Tory parties and one Republican party were to win enough votes to form government in Canada, in the United Kingdom and in the United States?
Would Canada continue to shift its peacekeeper activities to more military ventures?
Would climate change be relegated to the back of the policy bus?
Would hedge fund markets and energy exploration gambits make a big come back?
Despite his three critical mistakes (scorn for the arts, flip comment about “buying stocks,” and mocking Dion) in the current federal election, Prime Minister Harper may well obtain a larger minority government. He is now on record, claiming that if an electorate gives a government two minorities in a row, that is in effect, a mandate to govern as if he had a majority. He delivered this eye brow raising concept in a T.V. interview which aired last week on CBC Newsworld.
In the U.K, Gordon Brown’s “quasi” nationalization of British banks in face of our world economic agony, and the realization of a decades long dream of “old Labour,” generally favorably reviewed, may still not be enough to stop the sweep: Labour out and in will step the youngish aristocrat Tory leader, David Cameron.
Cameron’s aggressive stance against immigrant rights and his support for an increase in Britain’s state surveillance apparatus, although “softened” in the last year, raises the prospect of a more closed society in that country, political mother to Canada and the U.S.
And it is in that latter nation that we see, not just supply-side chickens home to roost in a nation with trillions of dollars in debt, but the risk of a “McPalin” administration – deniers of the causal link between human activity and climate change, disablers of government regulation, builders of walls to “keep out” immigrants, suppressers of women’s reproductive rights, and doubters of Darwin.
How will Canada act in a world order that could come to pass? What will ordinary citizens from each of these countries decide for their and all our futures?
My two bits worth: Mr. Harper will win a larger minority government and will attempt to shift Canada radically to the right; Mr. Obama will beat Mr. McCain but will govern from the right, hamstrung by his country’s decades long dependence on imaginary economic principles; and in the U.K., the dour Scotsman will be unable to rescue Labour.
So, ironically, it will be the United States who will set the agenda for progressive policies with regards to immigration and government spending. Iraq may see some respite. Afghanistan, none.